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RG-T3272 : Development of Predictive Model to Build Pilot Risk Tool to Identify Victims of Domestic Violence

Project Status: Closed

Domestic Violence (DV) cannot be deterred by routine patrol in crime "hot spots." The most serious forms of DV  those that involve serious injury or even death  occur at a tragically high rate in an absolute sense, but account for a small share of the literally hundreds of thousands of DV events that occur in a given jurisdiction each year. Identifying the victims who are truly at greatest risk from among many victims who appear, a priori, to be at risk, is like finding a needle in a haystack for the law enforcement. The objective consists in building a world-class prediction model that can assist stakeholders like law enforcement agencies or victim service providers in doing exactly this. Building upon the experience of the Chicago Crime Lab (CCL), the research team would engage with 2-3 jurisdictions in Latin America (cities or central governments) in order to build a state-of-the-art risk tool to identify victims of domestic violence who are at greatest risk of experiencing repeat victimization. This exercise will produce two outputs: 1) a probability of repeat victimization for each victim known to law enforcement on the basis of that victim's prior contact with law enforcement and other public agencies and 2) a list of predictors that are most highly correlated with repeat victimization. By efficiently extracting the true "signals" from the large amount of available data, this tool will be helpful to law enforcement in targeting their most promising victim- or offender-based intervention strategies.

Project Detail

Project Number
RG-T3272
Project Country
Regional
Project Sector
SOCIAL INVESTMENT
Project Subsector
CITIZEN SAFETY
Project Type
Technical Cooperation
Project Lending Type
SG
Project Modality
Project Facility Type
Environmental and social impact category
C
Project Status
Closed
Operation Number
ATN/OC-16989-RG

Financial Information

Project Number
RG-T3272
Project Status
Closed

IDB Financing

Financing type
TCN
Fund
Ordinary Capital
Reporting currency
USD - United States Dollar
Reporting date
Jun/02/2023

Roles & Responsibilities

Contract signature date
Oct/18/2018

Project Information

Total Cost
USD 200,000
Country counterpart financing
USD 0
Amount
USD 200,000

Preparation

Title
Type
Project Number
Date Published
TC Abstract
RG-T3272
January 31, 2019

Approved

Title
Type
Project Number
Date Published
TC Document
RG-T3272
January 31, 2019