The Research Department generates innovative ideas that support the strategic policy agenda of the IDB and its member countries to achieve inclusive and sustainable economic and social development in Latin America and the Caribbean. To maximize the impact of its research, we carry out activities that serve as inputs to bank departments, governments, the academic community and public opinion in the region.
We advise management on economic and development issues, conducts research and analysis on macro- and microeconomic trends, and oversees development of the IDB’s quantitative and analytical databases. It dons a team of researchers with excellent academic credentials, superior research and policymaking experience, and expertise in different areas.
- Latin America and the Caribbean exceeded growth expectations in 2023 thanks to its strong macroeconomic fundamentals, which helped the region cut inflation and unwind steep spending increases undertaken due to COVID-19.
- Countries should now focus on lowering interest rates without triggering unintended consequences; reducing fiscal imbalances in a politically charged context; and implementing far-reaching reforms to tackle low productivity and spur long-term growth.
- To grow their economies and move towards net zero emissions, countries can capitalize on their rich natural endowments, from renewable energy sources to minerals and food.
- Migration Brings Both Challenges and Opportunities for Cities: Migrants arriving in Latin American and Caribbean cities can contribute to economic growth and development by bringing their ideas, culture, skills, and labor. However, they may also pose challenges related to housing, employment of low-skilled workers, and the strain on public services.
- Policymakers Should Focus on Maximizing Migration Benefits: To harness the potential of urban migration, policymakers should prioritize policies that promote migrants' contributions to local productivity growth, improve housing availability, and mitigate potential negative impacts, while considering the specific context and needs of both migrant and resident populations.
- Rethinking Urban Migration for Long-lasting Local Economic Development: Embracing urban migration and effectively integrating migrants to the local economy can lead to long-term economic benefits for cities, fostering innovation, productivity, and competitiveness. This not only benefits migrants but also enhances the well-being of local residents, especially those in vulnerable situations, contributing to the broader community's prosperity.
- Total debt in Latin America and the Caribbean has grown to US$5.8 trillion, or 117 percent of GDP. Public debt soared during the pandemic, and corporates issued substantial amounts to survive the crisis.
- While taking on debt helped the region weather the pandemic, it is now weighing down its economy. If countries want to grow and reduce the possibility of a deeper debt crisis, they need to bring down debt to prudent levels.
- To achieve prudent debt levels, policymakers can focus on better fiscal institutions, implementing fiscal consolidation, improving debt management, and providing well-targeted assistance to promising private firms.
By 2020, at the nadir of the COVID-19 pandemic, Latin American and Caribbean governments had spent so much on health and transfers to keep people and firms afloat that the average primary balance (the budget balance without interest payments on debt) had soared to -4.8% of GDP.
Between 1960 and 2019, Latin America and the Caribbean grew faster than advanced economies in terms of labor, years of schooling, and physical capital. Yet, the difference in average annual growth between the two groups of countries was striking, with the advanced economies growing 2.6% versus around 1.8% for Latin America and the Caribbean.
As COVID-19 struck, governments across Latin America and the Caribbean imposed lockdowns and other restrictions that led to widespread job losses. There was record unemployment in the hospitality, tourism, and retail sectors.