REVELA

Revelations of Expectations in Latin America

The October 2017 surveys of expectations conducted by Central Banks with inflation targeting regimes indicate that the simple average growth rate expected for 2017 for the eight countries covered by REVELA remained stable at 2.4% compared to September. Similarly, the GDP-weighted average of growth expectations remained constant at 1.5% in October. Inflation expectations for 2017 declined by 0.1% in October under both the simple average basis and the GDP-weighted average basis from 4.2% to 4.1%. At the individual country level, growth expectations rose by 0.2% in Peru and by 0.1% Brazil and Uruguay. They declined by 0.3% in Colombia and by 0.1% Guatemala, and remained stable in Chile, Mexico and Paraguay. Inflation expectations fell by 0.5% in Chile, by 0.2% in Peru and by 0.1% in Colombia and Guatemala. They rose by 0.1% in Brazil and remained stable in Mexico, Paraguay and Uruguay. With these results, growth expectations for the region for 2017 ranged from 0.7% in Brazil to 4.0% in Paraguay, while inflation expectations ranged from 1.8% in Chile to 6.3% in Mexico. Download the full report and data.

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ANALYSIS CHART HTML

 

Expectations for 2017
(G)rowth & (I)nflation
Sep vs. Oct 

 

G

I

LAC Average

Brazil

Chile

Colombia

Guatemala

Mexico

Paraguay

Peru

Uruguay

 

WHAT IS REVELA ?

REVELA is a free Web-based monthly service on inflation and growth expectations in Latin America. REVELA's Web site offers an up-to-date report and a database with historical information. This service compiles data from the expectations surveys of eight Latin American Central Banks that have inflation-targeting regimes. REVELA does not represent official projections by the IDB or any other official institution.

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