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Discussion Papers

Discussion papers include papers, presentations and documents presented at IDB events either by IDB staff or outside speakers.

Page 1 Results 1 - 10 of 537
  • Housing Finance, Housing Shocks, and the Business Cycle: Evidence from OECD Countries

    Cardarelli, Roberto; Monacelli, Tommaso; Rebucci, Alessandro; Sala, Luca

    Date : Jan, 2010

    This paper quantifies the role of the housing sector in the business cycle of advanced economies. We identify housing demand and supply shocks in a standard monetary VAR model augmented with a housing sector, by combining sign restrictions with conventional exclusion restrictions. We estimate the relative importance of housing shocks for consumption, house prices and residential investment, and relate them to an index of housing finance development, as well as a few other variables possibly explaining their cross country variation. The main findings of the paper are as follows: (i) Housing shocks (demand and supply combined) explain about 20 percent of consumption variance in the typical OECD economy over a three-year forecast horizon, and their importance seems to have increased over time. There is however a strong eterogeneity across countries; (ii) housing demand shocks are much more important than housing supply shocks for consumption volatility and are also transmitted in a qualitatively different manner; (iii) the distribution of housing shocks in the cross section of countries we consider is associated with the degree of mortgage market development; and (iv) contrary to conventional wisdom, the global imbalances do not seem to have had a large role on the boom-bust cycle of the typical OECD economy. We interpret this evidence as consistent with housing finance innovation having amplified the spillovers from the housing sector to the rest of the economy over the last two decades in these economies by strengthening the role of housing as collateral for non-housing consumption, via house prices.


  • entra21 Program Phase I: Results, Lessons Learned and Sustainability Paths

    Presented at a MIF-IYF Brown Bag Lunch on October 8, 2009

    Susan Pezzullo - International Youth Foundation

    Date : Oct, 2009


  • Building capital: the role of migrant remittances in housing improvement and construction in El Salvador

    Presentation of the winning Masters thesis from the MIF Call for Academic Research in Remittances

    Brendan McBride

    Date : May, 2009


  • The Global Crisis and LAC: Views from Washington - Guillermo Calvo

    Calvo, Guillermo

    Date : Apr, 2009


  • The STC Challenge: Scaling Up Innovation in Sustainable Tourism

    One page flyer

    Soler, Santiago,

    Date : Apr, 2009


  • Remittances in Times of Financial Instability

    2008 LAC Map Supplemental

    Meins, Robert Wilke,

    Date : Mar, 2009

    This document is a supplement to the brochure, Remittances in times of financial instability, and the map of remittances to Latin America and the Caribbean in 2008, produced by MIF. The document provides a short overview of significant trends affecting remittances and their impact on families, communities and national economies throughout the region.


  • Phase I Summary Eng 2008(2)

    Mikkelsen, Lene,

    Date : Feb, 2009


  • Economic interests and economic policy

    Date : Feb, 2009


  • Comments: Politics and Productivity

    Date : Feb, 2009


  • Korean productivity. The brute force method, or The dual economy

    Date : Feb, 2009


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