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SURVEY ON A POLITICAL
SCALE WHERE 0 IS LEFT AND 10 IS RIGHT, WHERE DO YOU STAND?
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By PAUL CONSTANCE
When the Asian and Russian financial crises blind-sided Latin America last year, analysts immediately predicted a
popular backlash against free-market policies.Their argument was hard to refute. For the better part of a decade, people in
Latin America's biggest economies had been adjusting to the effects of liberalized trade, privatizations, increased foreign
investment and diminished government subsidies. These free-market reforms had in many cases increased prices, unemployment
and the gap between rich and poor. But voters tended to support the reforms because they preferred the resulting stability and
low inflation, and because they hoped to eventually benefit from rising prosperity. Then, as the financial crisis threatened to
cripple one Latin economy after another in 1998, that prosperity suddenly seemed more distant than ever. Would frustrated
voters conclude that free-market policies could not deliver on their promise and start calling for a return to greater state
intervention in the economy? Answers to that question can be glimpsed in the results of a survey of people's views on
politics and the economy in 14 Latin countries and the United States, released earlier this year by The Wall Street Journal's
Americas edition. The survey, entitled "Mirror on the Americas," indicates that even though most Latin Americans are
pessimistic about the current situation, a clear majority continues to support market-oriented economic policies. According to
the survey, 61.2 percent of all Latin Americans believe their parents lived better than they do. And yet they do not want a return
to the statist policies under which most of their parents lived. On the contrary: 58 percent of survey respondents said prices of
products should be determined by free competition, 64 percent said the market economy is best for the country, and 69 percent
said foreign investment in their country should be encouraged. Eduardo Lora, an IDB senior research economist who has
written about public perceptions of economic reforms, thinks these replies show that people are distinguishing more clearly
between the appropriate roles of the state and the private sector. "Other surveys have shown that people still believe that the
government should provide a safety net of essential services in areas such as health and education," he said. "But they no longer
think the state should try to participate in the economy as a whole. Instead of criticizing capitalism, they are criticizing the failure
of government to meet basic needs." The survey also reflects another much-discussed trend: the retreat from Left-Right
extremes of the political spectrum to more moderate, centrist views. Latin countries that as recently as the 1980s were perceived
as being politically polarized are now showing a majority in the center. The graph at the left shows where people placed
themselves on a political scale of 0 (Left) to 10 (Right). Notice that the white and light-shaded sections near the middle
predominate, although the balance in all countries is slightly in favor of the Right. Indeed, in several Latin countries, the
percentage of people identifying themselves as politically neutral (white) is now similar to the level in the famously centrist
United States. People can mean different things by "Left" and "Right," of course, and those meanings have evolved following
the end of the Cold War and the era of dictatorships and armed conflicts. But what this graph shows is that most Latin
Americans, even during a period of acute economic distress, are no longer attracted to radical solutions.
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