CHAPTER III

PROGRAM EXECUTION OF THE SEVENTH GENERAL INCREASE IN RESOURCES DURING THE PERIOD FROM 1990 TO 1993


1. INTRODUCTION

3.1 The Seventh General Increase in Resources agreement defined a lending program focusing on two major goals: (1) financing investments which would contribute to the economic and social progress of borrowing member countries, and (2) assisting member countries to restore sustainable economic growth through improving the strategies and policies for the basic sectors of their economies. The agreement defined some new institutional means to pursue these goals and called for a strengthening of others.

3.2 The Seventh Replenishment agreement also defined a number of program priorities. These included urging the Bank to do its utmost to ensure that 50 percent of its lending program was allocated to benefit the lower income groups. To provide a direct economic incentive to do so, the IDB provided an additional share of financing for projects in which at least 50 percent of the net benefits were directed to low-income beneficiaries. Other priorities included support for the environment, women, micro- entrepreneurs, regional integration, growth and diversification of exports, science and technology, along with modernization and rationalization of public sector institutions. Emphasis was given to improving country dialogue and program planning along with strengthening the evaluation function.

3.3 An overall lending program of US$22.5 billion was defined for the 1990 to 1993 period including US$1.86 billion in Fund for Special Operations (FSO) resources and US$1.136 billion in Intermediate Financing Facility (IFF) assisted ordinary capital (OC) lending. A new lending instrument to provide quick-disbursing sector loans in support of policy reforms was agreed to, with an initial ceiling of up to 25 percent of the overall lending program. Initially these operations were to be carried out in conjunction with the World Bank. The remaining 75 percent of Bank lending was to be provided through traditional investment loans and technical cooperation.

3.4 Over the course of the 1990 to 1993 period the Bank took significant steps to put in place the capacities necessary to respond to the programming challenges defined by the Seventh Replenishment agreement. In general terms, the Bank substantially met the targets and priorities defined in the Seventh Replenishment agreement. An assessment of the IDB lending program carried out by the Institute of Development Studies at Sussex University during 1992 concluded that "overall very favorable results have been achieved with IDB lending over the 1979-1992 period". / The study judged that IDB involvement in sector loans was positive. By supporting an improvement in the economic policy framework of its borrowing member countries, the Bank helped to reduce bottlenecks and distortions limiting some countries' economic growth, and in some cases the effectiveness of their investment borrowing from the IDB. The adjustment process supported by IDB sector lending was also judged to have played a key role in restoring private sector and commercial banking confidence in the region. This in turn has contributed to increased investment capital flows to the region.

3.5 In 1993, the President commissioned a group of external experts to carry out a review of IDB's portfolio. In October 1993 this group issued the "Report of the Task Force on Portfolio Management", which concluded that "the Bank's portfolio is generally sound and is meeting intended development objectives". / To respond to the emerging challenges of the region the panel of experts recommended that the Bank focus more broadly on the quality and impact of its lending, provide greater support to implementation activities, reexamine organizational arrangements, and strengthen reporting and evaluation.

2. LENDING PROGRAM FOR THE PERIOD FROM 1990 TO 1993

A. Lending parameters


3.6 Document AB-1378 provided for an overall lending program of US$22.5 billion for the period of the Seventh Replenishment, covering the years 1990 to 1993, and defined the size and composition of that lending program by fund and country group. The document set out criteria for the use of concessional resources and reaffirmed a target from the Fifth and Sixth Replenishments of allocating 50 percent of the lending program to benefit lower income groups. The document also outlined the importance of sound environmental management in development activities, and highlighted the role of women in the development process. In addition, the agreement called for the Bank to assume a more active role in working with its borrowing member countries in the formulation and implementation of policies needed for the restructuring and modernization of their economies. For this purpose, it established that the Bank could lend up to 25 percent of total lending for sector loans - i.e., loans that would disburse against imports rather than specific project-related costs - in support of such policy changes.

B. Lending by country group

3.7 Document AB-1378 set a maximum of 65 percent of total resources, equivalent to US$14,625 million in freely convertible resources, for loans to Group A and B countries; while a minimum of 35 percent, or US$7,875 million in convertible resources, was allocated for countries in Groups C and D. The following table summarizes the execution of the Seventh Replenishment by country groups.

C. Policy-related sector lending

3.8 As indicated above, the Seventh Replenishment established that the Bank would make sector loans to support sector or subsector policy and/or institutional changes. No more than 25 percent of the total lending was to be directed to this type of lending during the period 1990 to 1993. In 1992 the Governors authorized additional resources to this program for debt and debt service reduction operations. This allowed the Bank to approve a US$400 million debt restructuring operation to Argentina in late 1992. The following table summarizes the distribution of sector lending commitments by country group over the 1990 to 1993 period:

3.9 As is evident in Table III-2, total sector loans approved during the Seventh Replenishment period amounted to US$5.649 billion, which was equivalent to 27 percent of total loans approved, but only slightly more than the original ceiling for sector lending of US$5.625 billion. A large share of fast-disbursing resources (over 70 percent) was channelled to countries in Groups A and B, for a total of approximately US$4 billion concentrated in the first three years of the period. For countries in Groups C and D, sector loan approvals tended to be for smaller amounts and were spread more evenly over the 1990 to 1993 period. This was due to factors such as the degree and stage of the stabilization and adjustment programs in these countries. The Bank also approved 12 non- reimbursable parallel technical cooperation operations for an amount of US$76 million to support the implementation of sector loans.

3.10 Sector loans provided in support of reforms in economic sectors were primarily aimed at improving competitiveness. Programs supported by these loans focused on policy issues directly related to productive activities (e.g. agriculture, trade, finance), and amounted to approximately 35 percent of the total sector lending during the 1990 to 1993 period (or US$1,930 million). Broader programs in areas such as public sector reform (e.g. public divestiture, institutional strengthening, tax and budgeting policies) accounted for 30 percent of total sector lending (or US$1,725 million), whereas programs aimed at enhancing the framework for private investment accounted for approximately 20 percent of total sector lending (or US$1,240 million) during the same period. The remaining 13 percent of total sector lending (or US$750 million) focused on complementary areas such as external debt restructuring and ecological conservation.

3.11 Sector loan compliance with tranche release conditions as of December 31, 1993 indicates that 18 loans, or 55 percent of the total approved, have been fully disbursed; 10 loans or 30 percent have been over 50 percent disbursed; seven loans are between 30 percent and 40 percent disbursed; and five loans (approved in 1993) are in the process of initiating disbursements. Of the US$5.65 billion in fast-disbursing funds approved during the 1990 to 1993 period, almost 80 percent has been disbursed.

D. Use of concessional resources

3.12 For the period from 1990 to 1993 a total amount of US$1.86 billion of FSO resources was available for lending. It was agreed during the Seventh Replenishment negotiations that FSO resources would be allocated to countries in Group D. Furthermore, it was agreed that within this group, preferential treatment would be given to the five countries facing the most severe economic difficulties, and 55 percent of the total FSO loan program was targeted for these countries. The remaining 45 percent was targeted to the other five countries in Group D.

3.13 Document AB-1378 states that in the case of the Intermediate Financing Facility (IFF) a significant portion of the resources available would be directed to Group C countries, and US$100 million would be directed to the relatively more developed countries of Group D. In 1992 the Governors agreed that an additional US$140 million of IFF-assisted ordinary capital lending would be made available as a result of a transfer of US$35 million of ordinary capital net income to the IFF for lending to Group D countries.

3.14 Management made an initial allocation of concessional funds to recipient countries based on the criteria of equal distribution. While some countries fully utilized their share, others did not or could not do so. The reasons for this carryover can be attributed to (i) individual countries not being able to access Bank funds; (ii) agreed limits on the amount of concessional resources which could be used for any individual project (in order to maximize benefits); and (iii) attempts to use scarce concessional resources as much as possible for projects in the social sectors. Thus, the fact that available concessional resources were not completely exhausted during the period from 1990 to 1993 was not due to lack of demand. In fact, the Group C and D countries borrowed nearly twice as much ordinary capital as IFF and FSO combined during this period.

E. Approvals by sector

3.15 During the Seventh Replenishment period, investment loans and investment components of hybrid loans (combined sector and investment loans) were distributed by sector of economic activity as shown in the following table:

3.16 The Bank's efforts to finance projects in the social infrastructure sectors resulted in US$5 billion of approvals or 34 percent of investment lending in convertible currencies and approximately 25 percent of overall Bank lending including sector loans. The share of social sector investments in the 1990-1993 lending program of the Bank increased from US$3.9 billion at the end of the Sixth Replenishment to just over US$5 billion in the Seventh Replenishment. Approvals in this area included projects for water supply and sewerage, programs for housing reform, municipal development, education, health care programs, science and technology, and environmental projects.

3.17 Approvals in convertible currencies for the transport and communications sectors amounted to 22 percent of the total, followed by energy (19 percent); agriculture and fisheries (8 percent); industry, mining and tourism (6 percent); and others (12 percent), which included preinvestment and multisector credit programs.

F. Technical cooperation


3.18 The technical cooperation program was closely tied to the Bank's operational program by providing support to the countries' preinvestment activities, institutional strengthening, including personnel training, and implementation of IDB-financed projects. Regional and subregional technical cooperation initiatives to promote economic integration programs were also an important component of the Bank's technical cooperation program. Total financing of nonreimbursable technical cooperation programs was equivalent to US$367 million, of which 17 percent was approved for Groups A and B, 49 percent for Groups C and D, and 34 percent to finance regional initiatives. The net income of the FSO continued to be the principal source of technical cooperation financing, which accounted for 70 percent of the total program. An additional 13 percent of financing came from the resources of the Japan Fund, 11 percent from the U.S. Social Progress Trust Fund (SPTF) resources, and 6 percent from other donor funds.

3. AREAS OF SPECIAL EMPHASIS IN THE BANK'S PROGRAMS

A. Low-income beneficiaries


3.19 A mandate for the Bank to direct 50 percent of its lending program towards benefiting low-income groups was included in the Seventh Replenishment agreement, as it was in the Fifth and Sixth Replenishment agreements. This objective has been pursued directly by the Bank, through specifically targeted projects and through more general means such as sector loans and investment projects aimed at improving overall economic conditions including lowering inflation, promoting economic growth and employment.

3.20 Distributional impact coefficients (DIC) have been calculated on approximately half of the individual projects approved each year with the value of the portfolio evaluated ranging from 44.3 percent in 1990 to 71.9 percent in 1993. These calculations estimate the percentage of a project's benefits accruing to low-income groups. The Weighted Total DIC is a weighted average calculation using one of two indicators which are based on either a cost-benefit analysis (DIC-CB) or a head-count approach (DIC-HC). These coefficients (DIC-HC and DIC-CB) are weighted by the percentage, in the monetary value, of all the loans evaluated under each methodology. The Weighted Total DIC does not reflect the distributive impact of certain types of lending operations where it is difficult or impossible to define low-income beneficiaries as a proportion of all the beneficiaries of the loan. These include global loans, preinvestment, and sector lending. Management believes, however, that many of these programs will have some positive impact on the low-income groups over the longer term. The calculation of DIC is thus limited to only a portion of the lending program. Care must be taken in interpreting results from these partial indicators as estimations are themselves limited in two important ways. Firstly, calculations made on only a portion of the portfolio cannot be used to extrapolate results for the overall portfolio. Secondly, the result of the weighting, based on the volume of lending related to each of the two indicators, is affected by the size of projects, and projects of smaller size, e.g. in basic health and education, are usually evaluated using the head-count approach and tend to be better targeted to the poor. Therefore, the cost-benefit (DIC-CB) indicator consistently demonstrates results below those of the head-count method (DIC-HC). The blending of these two partial indicators into a single weighted coefficient therefore produces an indicator of only limited usefulness.

3.21 Over the four-year replenishment period the Bank has calculated, based on the above methodology, that it has achieved an average of approximately 40 percent of project benefits accruing to low-income groups of the projects evaluated. The downward trend in the Weighted Total DIC evident in Table III-9 is in part a result of an increase in the proportion of loans being evaluated using the cost- benefit analysis method, which generally produces lower DIC values. Another explanatory factor is the special composition of the portfolio during the 1990 to 1993 period. For example, the sensitivity and bias within the methodology can be noted from the fact that were three large energy projects approved in 1993 to be excluded from the calculations, the Weighted Total DIC would increase from the reported 33.4 percent to 40 percent. Similarly, in 1992, were one large transportation sector project excluded from the calculations, the total DIC would increase from the reported 34.8 percent to 49.4 percent.

3.22 Over the period of the Seventh Replenishment the gravity of the debt repayment crisis of many Latin American countries commanded priority attention. Pursuit of structural adjustment, in order to achieve macroeconomic balances and to restore the conditions for growth, was central for both borrowing members and the Bank. IDB support to structural adjustment began in earnest in 1990. Over the short run, both as a result of stabilization measures and structural adjustment, in many countries the number of poor increased and income distribution worsened as alleviating fiscal constraints became an overriding policy objective. Towards the end of the Seventh Replenishment period, however, borrowing member countries were increasingly concerned with the sustainability of the reform process by placing greater emphasis on social reform and poverty reduction. It is expected that the positive impacts of adjustment and policy reforms made will become more evident in the future.

3.23 In order to improve the Bank's performance in channeling benefits to the low-income groups, Bank Management is developing a strategy to increase its activities in the social sectors and to help reduce poverty in the region. Experience during IDB-7 indicates that careful targeting is a key factor in achieving the objective of project benefits accruing to the lower income groups. A three- pronged approach to support borrowing countries' efforts to reduce poverty is being developed to improve the Bank's capacity to deliver additional benefits to the lower income groups. These include: (i) increasing the focus in the programming process and country dialogue on poverty reduction and social policy issues; (ii) designing and implementing social sector and fiscal reforms to increase resource availability and improve the scope and efficiency of the delivery of social services; and, (iii) enhancing the poverty-reduction impact of Bank operations through the selection and appropriate design of all of its projects. Based on program dialogue with borrowing member governments, country programming will continue to define expected results in order to facilitate program evaluation and improve programming effectiveness over time in directing benefits to lower income groups.

B. Environmental considerations

3.24 The Bank has been very active in promoting environmental quality in all of its operations during the period of the Seventh Replenishment. The Environment Protection Division assists country and project teams directly to ensure that IDB operations are environmentally sound, and is responsible for identifying and preparing renewable natural resources and environmental projects. The Division also deals with environmental quality, environmental development in project preparation, and environmental policy, planning, and research issues.

3.25 The Environmental Management Committee (CMA) is a management-level committee which meets regularly to address environmental issues. The CMA reviews the environmental aspects of the Bank's operations, and proposes policies and strategies to address environmental risks and opportunities in Bank operations, coordinates inter- departmental efforts regarding environmental activities, and ensures compliance of Bank operations with internal environmental quality control requirements. The committee reviews every operation processed by the Bank to determine the level of environmental analysis needed, and ensures that the analysis is carried out in a satisfactory manner and that its conclusions are incorporated into the operation.

3.26 As a result of the strengthening of the review process in the IDB, the Bank has significantly improved its ability to screen operations for environmental sustainability and to avoid negative environmental impacts as well as enhancing positive impacts. Every single operation is carefully screened from its earliest stage to ensure the application of the minimum standards established by the borrowers themselves and by the Bank. Over the period from 1990 to 1993 the Bank approved US$3.7 billion for 34 projects addressing urban (75 percent) and rural (25 percent) environmental issues as well as for the strengthening of environmental institutions in the region. In addition, 167 technical cooperations and small project operations, totaling US$70.5 million, have been approved since 1990 to address environmental issues in the region.

3.27 A major portion of the Bank's activity regarding the environment has been to facilitate the participation of affected populations. The coordination of the Bank's activities with these groups has been enhanced through periodic meetings, including three major meetings on the environment and participation. A special effort has been made to address the concerns of affected populations. The Bank supported the region's governments in their participation in the Earth Summit held in Rio de Janeiro in June 1992, and prepared two important documents: Our Own Agenda and Amazonia without Myths.

C. Women in development

3.28 During the Seventh Replenishment period the Bank made steady progress in the area of women in development. Continued implementation of the Bank's Women in Development Policy and the approval of an Action Plan, increased attention to the issue in the Bank's programming activities and in its operations over the 1990 to 1993 period. In 1993, some 18 percent of the Bank's loans included a thorough analysis of women's potential participation in the projects as well as concrete steps to improve their participation. This compares favorably with the 6 percent of loans that included this focus in 1990. However, these figures show that the Bank still has some distance to go to fully implement the WID Policy.

3.29 Also during the 1990 to 1993 period the Bank made significant progress in strengthening its own institutional capacity to address the concerns of the WID Policy. The Bank's WID unit was expanded and provided systematic review and input into Bank projects affecting women. The unit conducted several studies and prepared sectoral guidelines aimed at improving Bank performance in this area. The Bank increased its cooperation and coordination with a range of international organizations addressing WID issues and held several international workshops and seminars providing training on WID issues to both Bank staff and officials from the region.

3.30 During the period the Bank supported a broad range of institutional strengthening activities for both public and private sector organizations representing and promoting women's interests in several borrowing countries through its technical cooperation programs. In addition, the Bank financed several regional technical cooperation programs to strengthen women's roles in agriculture and microenterprise. Currently, the Bank's WID programs are increasingly focusing on strengthening women's vital role in the social reform process.

D. Microenterprise and Small Projects

3.31 During 1990 to 1993 the Bank supported microenterprises through 170 individual operations for a total amount of US$278 million. The qualitative changes in microenterprise support during the Seventh Replenishment are as striking as the accomplishments that can be quantified. Bank support emphasized institutional strengthening of the intermediary organizations, their administrative and financial self-sufficiency, new credit management techniques, accountability and responsibility in the management of loan portfolios, and the elimination of distortions in resource transfers to microentrepreneurs.

3.32 Increasing attention was paid to the non-financial aspects of the context within which microenterprises and their support organizations were operating. Diagnostic assessments of the legal and regulatory frameworks affecting microenterprises were carried out in three countries. Likewise, the limitations and conditions facing the NGOs, credit unions, and other organizations of civil society interacting directly with microenterprise development, constitute a growing focus of the Bank's microenterprise program.

E. Cofinancing

3.33 The Bank's approach to the cofinancing of Bank projects underwent significant changes, with both bilateral and multilateral sources playing a more important role. Over this period total cofinancing amounted to approximately US$7 billion. Cofinancing with the IBRD increased dramatically from US$667 million in 1990 to US$2.2 billion in 1991, due primarily to the joint sector adjustment program initiated with the Seventh Replenishment. As the Bank proceeded to undertake policy-based sector lending on its own, cofinancing with the World Bank decreased to US$969 million in 1992 and to an amount of US$340 million in 1993. Cofinancing with Japan during the Seventh Replenishment amounted to over US$2.2 billion or 31 percent of the total. Other active sources of cofinancing for Bank projects included the European Investment Bank (EIB), the Andean Development Corporation (CAF), the International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD), the OPEC Fund, USAID, the Scandinavian countries, Spain, Germany's KfW, and Switzerland.

F. Country programming and strategic planning

3.34 The programming process and policy dialogue between the Bank and its borrowing member countries was strengthened and improved. The quality and utility of country and regional programming papers (CPPs/RPPs) improved as a result of the increased integration of Bank experiences, through a country and project team approach.

3.35 Over the period from 1990 to 1993, 32 country programming papers and five regional programming papers were produced and 62 country programming missions were completed. These were supported by 31 country socioeconomic studies. This strengthened the programming process and contributed to improvements in the identification, selection, composition and degree of readiness of the Bank's operational pipeline during the period from 1990 to 1993.

3.36 Also during this period strategic planning was strengthened. A number of strategic corporate studies were carried out. These included policy papers supporting the social reform process, privatization, and demographic issues, as well as an assessment of the Bank's lending program over the Fifth, Sixth, and Seventh Replenishment periods.

G. Evaluation activities

3.37 Over the Seventh Replenishment period a wide range of evaluation activities were carried out addressing both program impact and the program processes of the Bank. More than 20 impact and performance studies focusing on a range of sectors including telecommuni- cations, agricultural research and extension, environment management and women in development were completed. In addition, issues of evaluation methodology were addressed through several studies, and in 1994, as a consequence of a Board of Directors decision, a new Evaluation Office was created. This new office is expected to enhance the scope and coverage of evaluation of operations, policies and programs, through a focus on measurable results.

H. Social Agenda Policy Group (SAPG)

3.38 In 1992 the President of the Bank established a high-level Social Agenda Policy Group (SAPG). The SAPG was conceived as an instrument for the expansion of the activities of the Bank in the social sectors. Its purpose was to define an approach for enhancing the Bank's activities in support of the social sectors. Since its establishment, the SAPG has carried out three major pilot missions, to Trinidad and Tobago, Chile and Venezuela. Through these missions, issues for inclusion in agendas for sectoral reform have been identified involving broad-based dialogue in the borrowing member countries with the governments and elements of civil society in the shared definition of reform priorities and strategy.

4. DISBURSEMENTS DURING THE SEVENTH REPLENISHMENT PERIOD

3.39 During the 1990 to 1993 period, the Bank disbursed a total of US$12.2 billion, in freely convertible currencies of the ordinary capital and the Fund for Special Operations. This represents an increase of approximately 46 percent over disbursements during the previous four-year period (1986 to 1989). Of the total convertible resources disbursed, 9.4 percent came from the FSO and 90.6 percent from ordinary capital resources. The table below shows the amounts for each year, broken down by type of resources.

5. FINANCIAL ACTIVITIES

3.40 At the beginning of the Seventh Replenishment period, and for the first time ever, the Bank experienced protracted arrears in its loan portfolio. These arrears however, were fully cleared during the period, reflecting the unwavering commitment of member countries to the Bank.

3.41 During the Seventh Replenishment period, all major financial policies were reviewed and updated in order to improve the Bank's financial management and to make it more efficient. This included liquidity and investment policies, borrowing policy, and currency selection policy.

3.42 During the Seventh Replenishment period, the Bank raised the equivalent of US$14.5 billion of funding from the world capital markets and repaid US$7.2 billion. Consequently, the net borrowings during the period reached the equivalent of US$7.3 billion. Of the amount repaid, US$2.4 billion corresponded to high coupon debt, redeemed in advance and replaced by lower cost funding. The average cost of the Bank's new borrowings was 6.5%. As a result of improved financial management systems the Bank narrowed its spread over comparable benchmark issues.

3.43 The major rating agencies continued to affirm the Bank's AAA rating throughout the Seventh Replenishment period. Their rating, which has remained unchanged since the Bank was founded, is based upon the solid support from the governments of member countries, on the prudent limits set by statute, by management policy, and on a highly satisfactory financial performance.

6. CONCLUSION

3.44 The Seventh Replenishment period was one of major accomplishments for both the region and the Bank. The Bank achieved its highest levels of annual lending ever and made a significant contribution in support of the major economic, social and political changes which occurred in the region during the period. The average annual lending level between 1990 and 1993 increased to approximately US$5.3 billion as compared with US$2.5 billion over the period from 1985 to 1989. Funding for technical cooperation and small projects increased dramatically during the Seventh Replenishment with approximately a doubling and quadrupling in value of these activities respectively. Also during this period the IDB became the single most important provider of official external financing to the region, particularly for the smaller and poorer countries. The Bank continued to promote well-designed, financially viable investment projects, played an important role in the public-sector debt restructuring of several countries, and at the same time became a major partner in the region's macroeconomic and development policy dialogue. The IDB's contribution to this policy dialogue and process of economic adjustment reflected its evolving role as an international multilateral development institution, and its identity as a regional bank committed to the economic and social development of Latin America and the Caribbean. / Assessment of the IDB Lending Programme, 1979-92. The Institute of Development Studies, Sussex University, August 1993. p. vii. / Managing for Effective Development, Report of the Task Force on Portfolio Management for the Inter-American Development Bank, October 1993, p.1.