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Expectations for 2015
(G)rowth & (I)nflation
April vs. May

 

G

I

LAC Average

Brazil

Chile

Colombia

Guatemala

Mexico

Paraguay

Peru

Uruguay

 

REVELA is a free Web-based monthly service on inflation and growth expectations in Latin America. REVELA's Web site offers an up-to-date report and a database with historical information. This service compiles data from the expectations surveys of eight Latin American Central Banks that have inflation-targeting regimes. REVELA does not represent official projections by the IDB or any other official institution.

REVELA

Revelations of Expectations in Latin America

The May 2015 surveys of expectations conducted by Central Banks with inflation targeting regimes indicate that the simple average growth expectations for 2015 for the eight countries covered has decreased by 0.1%, from 2.9% to 2.8% while the GDP weighted average growth expectation fell by 0.2%, from 1.1% to 0.9%. Inflation expectations for 2015 have remained constant in the past month, at 4.8% on a simple average basis, and have increased by 0.1%, from 5.8% to 5.9%, on a GDP weighted average basis. Comparing the April and May surveys, expected 2015 growth only increased in one country covered in the REVELA database, Guatemala, increasing from 3.8% to 3.9%. At the same time, growth expectations decreased in Colombia (by 0.5%), Mexico (by 0.2%), Brazil (by 0.1%), Chile (by 0.1%) and Peru (by 0.1%). Finally, in the other two countries of the database, Paraguay and Uruguay, they remained stable, at 4.5% in the former case and at 2.8% in the latter. Expected growth now ranges between 4.5% (Paraguay) and -1.2% (Brazil). Inflation expectations rose in Brazil (by 0.1%), Chile (by 0.1%), Colombia (by 0.2%) and Guatemala (by 0.1%) and fell only in Mexico (by 0.1%). Download the full report and data.

Brazil:

Chile:

Colombia:

Guatemala:

Mexico:

Paraguay:

Peru:

Uruguay:

     

GDP Avg:

Simple Avg:

     

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Downloads:

PDF Full Report Excel Dataset

 

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