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Expectations for 2016
(G)rowth & (I)nflation
March vs. April

 

G

I

LAC Average

Brazil

Chile

Colombia

Guatemala

Mexico

Paraguay

Peru

Uruguay

 

REVELA is a free Web-based monthly service on inflation and growth expectations in Latin America. REVELA's Web site offers an up-to-date report and a database with historical information. This service compiles data from the expectations surveys of eight Latin American Central Banks that have inflation-targeting regimes. REVELA does not represent official projections by the IDB or any other official institution.

REVELA

Revelations of Expectations in Latin America

The March 2016 surveys of expectations conducted by Central Banks with inflation targeting regimes indicate that the simple average growth expectations for 2016 for the eight countries covered by REVELA have decreased by 0.1% from 1.9% to 1.8% compared to February. The GDP weighted average growth expectations have decreased by 0.2% from -0.4% to -0.6%, remaining below zero for the third consecutive month. Meanwhile, inflation expectations for 2016 have increased by 0.1% from 5.2% to 5.3% on a simple average basis, and remained constant at 5.7% on a GDP weighted average basis compared to the previous month. At the individual country level, growth expectations fell in six countries: Paraguay by 0.3%, Brazil, Chile and Guatemala by 0.2% (in all three cases) and for Mexico and Uruguay by 0.1% in both cases. Expected growth remained constant in Colombia at 3.0% and increased in Peru by 0.2% compared to the previous month. Inflation expectations fell in Brazil by 0.2% and remained constant in four countries: Paraguay at 4.7%, Chile at 3.6%, Peru at 3.5% and Mexico at 3.3%. Finally, inflation expectations increased in Colombia, Guatemala and Uruguay by 0.2% in the three cases. Expected growth for the region is as low as -3.6% for Brazil and as high as 3.6% in Guatemala, while expected inflation ranges between 3.3% in Mexico to 9.9% in Uruguay. Download the full report and data.

Brazil:

Chile:

Colombia:

Guatemala:

Mexico:

Paraguay:

Peru:

Uruguay:

     

GDP Avg:

Simple Avg:

     

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Downloads:

PDF Full Report Excel Dataset

 

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