REVELA

Revelations of Expectations in Latin America

The November 2016 surveys of expectations conducted by Central Banks with inflation targeting regimes indicate that the simple average growth rate expected for 2016 for the eight countries covered by REVELA increased by 0.1% from 1.7% to 1.8% compared to October, while the GDP-weighted average growth rate fell by 0.1% from -0.5% to -0.6%. On the other hand, inflation expectations for the region for 2016 fell by 0.1% on a simple average basis from 5.0% to 4.9% but remained constant on a GDP weighted average basis at 5.4%. At the individual country level, growth expectations only increased in Paraguay by 0.3% and only fell in Brazil by 0.2%, remaining constant in Peru at 3.9%, Guatemala at 3.2%, Colombia at 2.5%, Mexico at 2.1%, Chile at 1.7% and Uruguay at 0.4%. Inflation expectations decreased in Uruguay by 0.4%, in Colombia by 0.3%, in Paraguay by 0.2% and in Brazil by 0.1%. They rose by 0.1% in Guatemala and Mexico and remained constant in Peru at 3.3% and Chile at 3.2%. According to surveys in November, expected growth in the region for 2016 ranged from -3.4% in Brazil to 3.9% in Peru, while expected inflation ranged from 3.2% in Chile to 8.5% in Uruguay. Download the full report and data.

 

Brazil:

Chile:

Colombia:

Guatemala:

Mexico:

Paraguay:

Peru:

Uruguay:

     

GDP Avg:

Simple Avg:

     

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Analysis chart HTML

 

Expectations for 2016
(G)rowth & (I)nflation
October vs. November 

 

G

I

LAC Average

Brazil

Chile

Colombia

Guatemala

Mexico

Paraguay

Peru

Uruguay

 

What is revela ?

REVELA is a free Web-based monthly service on inflation and growth expectations in Latin America. REVELA's Web site offers an up-to-date report and a database with historical information. This service compiles data from the expectations surveys of eight Latin American Central Banks that have inflation-targeting regimes. REVELA does not represent official projections by the IDB or any other official institution.

Downloads

 

PDF Full Report

Excel Dataset

 

 

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