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Expectations for 2015
(G)rowth & (I)nflation
May vs. June

 

G

I

LAC Average

Brazil

Chile

Colombia

Guatemala

Mexico

Paraguay

Peru

Uruguay

 

REVELA is a free Web-based monthly service on inflation and growth expectations in Latin America. REVELA's Web site offers an up-to-date report and a database with historical information. This service compiles data from the expectations surveys of eight Latin American Central Banks that have inflation-targeting regimes. REVELA does not represent official projections by the IDB or any other official institution.

REVELA

Revelations of Expectations in Latin America

The June 2015 surveys of expectations conducted by Central Banks with inflation targeting regimes indicate that the simple average growth expectation for 2015 for the eight countries covered by REVELA has decreased by 0.1%, from 2.8% to 2.7%, while the GDP weighted average growth expectation fell by 0.2%, from 0.9% to 0.7%. Inflation expectations for 2015 increased by 0.1%, from 4.8% to 4.9%, on a simple average basis, and increased by 0.3%, from 5.8% to 6.1%, on a GDP weighted average basis. Comparing the May and June surveys, expected 2015 growth increased in Peru (by 0.4%) and in Uruguay (by 0.1%), while it remained stable in Colombia and Paraguay, and decreased in Chile (by 0.4%), Brazil (by 0.2%), Guatemala (by 0.1%) and Mexico (by 0.1%). Expected 2015 growth now ranges between 4.5% (by Paraguay) and -1.4% (Brazil). Inflation expectations rose in Brazil (by 0.5%), Chile (by 0.3%), Peru (by 0.1%) and Uruguay (by 0.1%), remained stable in Colombia and Paraguay, and fell in Guatemala (by 0.3%) and Mexico (by 0.1%). Expected inflation, for 2015, ranges between 8.9% (Brazil) and 2.9% (Mexico). Download the full report and data.

Brazil:

Chile:

Colombia:

Guatemala:

Mexico:

Paraguay:

Peru:

Uruguay:

     

GDP Avg:

Simple Avg:

     

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Downloads:

PDF Full Report Excel Dataset

 

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