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Expectations for 2016
(G)rowth & (I)nflation
February vs. March

 

G

I

LAC Average

Brazil

Chile

Colombia

Guatemala

Mexico

Paraguay

Peru

Uruguay

 

REVELA is a free Web-based monthly service on inflation and growth expectations in Latin America. REVELA's Web site offers an up-to-date report and a database with historical information. This service compiles data from the expectations surveys of eight Latin American Central Banks that have inflation-targeting regimes. REVELA does not represent official projections by the IDB or any other official institution.

REVELA

Revelations of Expectations in Latin America

The February 2016 surveys of expectations conducted by Central Banks with inflation targeting regimes indicate that the simple average growth expectation for 2016 for the eight countries covered by REVELA decreased by 0.1% from 2.0% to 1.9% compared to January. Furthermore, the GDP weighted average growth expectation decreased by 0.3% from -0.1% to -0.4%. On the contrary, the simple average inflation expectation for 2016 increased by 0.2% from 5.0% to 5.2, and the GDP weighted average inflation expectation increased by 0.3% from 5.4% to 5.7% compared to the previous month. At the individual country level, growth expectations evolved heterogeneously, rising in Paraguay (by 0.2%), Guatemala and Peru (by 0.1% in both cases); falling in Brazil (by 0.4%), Chile (by 0.2%), Mexico (by 0.2%) and Uruguay (by 0.1%); and remaining stable in Colombia (at 3.0%). Meanwhile, inflation expectations for 2016 increased in Colombia (by 0.7%), Brazil (by 0.5%), Mexico and Paraguay (by 0.2% in both cases) and Chile (by 0.1%). They decreased in Uruguay (by 0.2%) and remained stable in Guatemala (at 3.9%) and Peru (at 3.5%). Expected growth ranges from -3.4% in Brazil to +3.8% in Guatemala, while expected inflation ranges from 3.3% in Mexico to 9.7% in Uruguay. Download the full report and data.

Brazil:

Chile:

Colombia:

Guatemala:

Mexico:

Paraguay:

Peru:

Uruguay:

     

GDP Avg:

Simple Avg:

     

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Downloads:

PDF Full Report Excel Dataset

 

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