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Expectations for 2015
(G)rowth & (I)nflation
January vs. February

 

G

I

LAC Average

Brazil

Chile

Colombia

Guatemala

Mexico

Paraguay

Peru

Uruguay

 

REVELA is a free Web-based monthly service on inflation and growth expectations in Latin America. REVELA's Web site offers an up-to-date report and a database with historical information. This service compiles data from the expectations surveys of eight Latin American Central Banks that have inflation-targeting regimes. REVELA does not represent official projections by the IDB or any other official institution.

REVELA

Revelations of Expectations in Latin America

The February 2015 surveys of expectations conducted by Central Banks with inflation targeting regimes indicate that the simple average growth expectations for 2015 for the eight countries covered has decreased by 0.1%, from 3.2% to 3.1% while the GDP weighted average growth expectation fell by 0.4%, from 1.9% to 1.5%. Inflation expectations for 2015 have increased in the past month, by 0.1% on a simple average basis, from 4.3% to 4.4%, and by 0.3% on a GDP weighted average basis, from 5.0% to 5.3%. Comparing the January and February surveys, expected 2015 growth rose fell in the three largest economies covered in the REVELA database. Growth expectations decreased in Brazil (0.7%), Colombia (0.3%), and Mexico (0.2%). At the same time, they remained stable in Peru (at 4.0%) and increased in Chile (0.1%), Guatemala (0.1%), Paraguay (0.1%), and Uruguay (0.1%). Expected growth now ranges between 4.5% (Paraguay) to -0.4% (Brazil). Inflation expectations rose in Brazil (0.6%), Chile (0.2%), Guatemala (0.1%), and Uruguay (0.1%) and fell only in Mexico (0.1%). Download the full report and data.

Brazil:

Chile:

Colombia:

Guatemala:

Mexico:

Paraguay:

Peru:

Uruguay:

     

GDP Avg:

Simple Avg:

     

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Downloads:

PDF Full Report Excel Dataset

 

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