REVELA

Revelations of Expectations in Latin America

The January 2017 surveys of expectations conducted by Central Banks with inflation targeting regimes indicate that the simple average growth rate expected for 2017 for the eight countries covered by REVELA fell by 0.1% from 2.4% to 2.3% compared to the previous month, while the GDP-weighted average growth rate remained constant at 1.3%. On the other hand, inflation expectations for the region for 2017 remained constant at 4.7% on a simple average basis but rose by 0.2% on a GDP weighted average basis from 4.5% to 4.7%. At the individual country level, growth expectations increased only in Paraguay by 0.1% compared to the previous month, remained constant in Brazil and Chile and fell in five countries: Colombia by 0.3%, Peru by 0.2%, and in Guatemala, Mexico and Uruguay by 0.1% in all three cases. Inflation expectations increased in Mexico by 1.2% and in Colombia by 0.1% compared to the previous month. They remained constant in Chile and Peru and declined in Paraguay and Uruguay by 0.4% in both countries. Further declines were observed in Guatemala by 0.2% and in Brazil by 0.1%. According to surveys in January, growth expectations for the region for 2017 ranged from 0.5% in Brazil to 3.8% in Paraguay and Peru, while inflation expectations for 2017 ranged from 2.9% in Chile to 8.4% in Uruguay. Download the full report and data.

 

Brazil:

Chile:

Colombia:

Guatemala:

Mexico:

Paraguay:

Peru:

Uruguay:

     

GDP Avg:

Simple Avg:

     

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Analysis chart HTML

 

Expectations for 2017
(G)rowth & (I)nflation
November vs. December 

 

G

I

LAC Average

Brazil

Chile

Colombia

Guatemala

Mexico

Paraguay

Peru

Uruguay

 

What is revela ?

REVELA is a free Web-based monthly service on inflation and growth expectations in Latin America. REVELA's Web site offers an up-to-date report and a database with historical information. This service compiles data from the expectations surveys of eight Latin American Central Banks that have inflation-targeting regimes. REVELA does not represent official projections by the IDB or any other official institution.

Downloads

 

PDF Full Report

Excel Dataset

 

 

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