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Expectations for 2014
(G)rowth & (I)nflation
May vs. April

 

G

I

LAC Average

Brazil

Chile

Colombia

Guatemala

Mexico

Paraguay

Peru

Uruguay

 

REVELA is a free Web-based monthly service on inflation and growth expectations in Latin America. REVELA's Web site offers an up-to-date report and a database with historical information. This service compiles data from the expectations surveys of eight Latin American Central Banks that have inflation-targeting regimes. REVELA does not represent official projections by the IDB or any other official institution.

REVELA

Revelations of Expectations in Latin America

The June 2014 surveys of expectations conducted by Central Banks with inflation targeting regimes indicate that average growth expectations for 2014 have fallen from 3.6% to 3.4% while inflation expectations for 2014 have remained stable at 4.8%. In all but one of the countries studied (the exception being Colombia), expected 2014 growth decreased between the May and June surveys. Indeed, expected growth fell in Brazil (0.4%), Chile (0.2%), Guatemala (0.1%), Mexico (0.1%), Paraguay (0.2%), Peru (0.2%) and Uruguay (0.2%). Expected growth now ranges between 5.0% (Peru) to 1.2% (Brazil). The GDP weighted average inflation expectation for the region for 2014 is 5.3% and the GDP weighted average growth expectation is 2.1%. Inflation expectations rose in Chile (0.1%), Colombia (0.2%), Paraguay (0.1%) and Peru (0.1%) and fell in Guatemala (0.1%). Download the full report and data.

Brazil:

Chile:

Colombia:

Guatemala:

Mexico:

Paraguay:

Peru:

Uruguay:

     

GDP Avg:

Simple Avg:

     

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Downloads:

PDF Full Report Excel Dataset

 

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