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Latin American countries suffer from severe macroeconomic volatility. What is the link between this volatility and the sustainability of fiscal policy? Does the cause and effect relationship run only from macro to fiscal or is it a two-way street? ¿Como armar el rompecabezas fiscal? examines this relationship in the context of a search for appropriate indicators of fiscal policy sustainability. The power of predictability is a formidable asset in economics, and the methodology laid out in this book enjoys this distinction. In addition to providing an insightful account of recent fiscal history in six Latin American countries, it offers a conceptual framework that accurately predicted the fiscal breakdowns in both Brazil and Colombia.
The major objective of this paper is to investigate institutional arrangements as a determinant of loan repayment in the Chilean financial market. A second aim is to analyze the effects of these arrangements on borrowers’ behavior. Although La Porta et al. (1997, 1998) classify Chile as a French Civil Law country, the law and private arrangements have evolved consistently with the capital market d ... (View publication)
This paper considers whether institutional factors, in this instance electoral systems and procedures, affect Latin American countries' fiscal performance as measured by the size of the public sector, fiscal deficits, the size of the public debt, and the degree of procyclality of fiscal policy. The authors find that electoral systems characterized by large district magnitude and high political fra ... (View publication)
Monetary normalization may be a chronicle foretold, but countries still have the power to influence the outcome for their own economies. This report focuses on the risks Latin American and Caribbean countries face and how they can reduce vulnerabilities and enhance opportunities. (View publication)
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