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EVO - Evaluation- A Management
Tool for Improving Project Performance (a logical frame work) -3/97 -
III
EVALUATION
AND PROJECT IMPLEMENTATION
It is frequently true that project managers
have to deal with ten times more information than they need for making key
decisions while they still lack the critical information they would need for
making those decisions. Effective monitoring can easily reverse this. This
chapter introduces the benefits of monitoring and presents the steps required
for successful monitoring activities.
A. WHAT IS MONITORING?
Monitoring is a procedure for checking the
effectiveness and efficiency of implementing a project by identifying strengths
and shortcomings and recommending corrective measures to optimize the intended
outcomes.
B. THE ROLE OF THE BANK'S COUNTRY OFFICE
The Country Office is responsible for ongoing
monitoring and has the prime responsibility to identify performance problems and
work towards their successful resolution. Effective monitoring enables both the
Bank and the borrower to act before the problems get too far advanced for
effective solution. The Country Office is tasked with following this monitoring
process and reporting to management on important developments.
C. BENEFITS OF MONITORING
The benefits of monitoring are that it:
- identifies flaws in the design and execution
plan;
- establishes whether project is carried out
according to plan;
- continually reviews the project assumptions
thereby assessing the risk;
- establishes the likelihood of output
achievement as planned;
- verifies that outputs continue to support the
purpose;
- identifies recurrent problems that need
attention;
- recommends changes to the project
implementation plan;
- helps identify solutions to problems;
- identifies supplements to project required to
enhance its effectiveness; and
- establishes links between the performance of
the operations in progress and the Bank's future assistance to the country.
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Table 9
THE MONITORING PROCESS
- Project Familiarization
- Determine Information Requirements and Client
Information Needs
- Establish a Management Information System
- Report to Bank Management and Executing Agency
- Intervene to Improve Project Performance
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D. STEPS REQUIRED FOR SUCCESSFUL PROJECT
MONITORING
The monitoring role of the Country Office in
coordination with the counterpart project manager is key to improved project
performance. The five steps for successful monitoring, outlined in the Table 9,
help ensure effective and successful project monitoring. Though some of these
procedures are currently being applied to projects, it is useful to review them
once again for the purposes of this handbook.
1. Project Familiarization
If the project monitor (assigned Country Office
professional) is not familiar with the project, s/he needs to understand its
context and history. To do so, the monitor must:
- review project documents, including the
logframe, and available reports;
- conduct interviews with the project design and
project management teams/professionals;
- visit the project site and interview executing
agency personnel.
2. Determine the Information Requirements and
Stakeholders' Information Needs
It is important that the right information be
provided to the right people at the right time in order to ensure that
monitoring assists in enhancing project performance. The project monitors must:
- identify the primary and secondary
stakeholders of monitoring;
- clarify, with the counterpart project manager
and corresponding Bank supervisor (or project team leader), who should receive
monitoring reports and who should be copied (if done at the outset, protocol
difficulties will be avoided later on);
- establish, with the project team leader, the
frequency of formal reporting; and
- ascertain, with the counterpart project
manager, whether the monitoring stakeholders have particular issues or concerns
that should be incorporated.
3. Establish a Management Information System
(MIS)
The monitoring information needs should be used
to develop a management information system (MIS) for the project. This process
will be simplified if a logframe has been developed for the project.
In order for an MIS to be effective, the
information collected must:
- be pertinent, in that it is the appropriate
information;
- be timely, in that it arrives when you need
it;
- be cost effective to collect;
- answer strategic questions; and
- streamline monitoring, evaluation, and special
reporting activities.
The required steps for putting together an MIS
plan are:
- identify information users;
- clarify users needs;
- identify priority areas of information;
- link information needs and sources (ie.
determine which ongoing and existing data can be used and what needs to be
generated);
- determine appropriate methods for meeting
information needs (ie. establish data collection methods);
- identify roles and responsibilities;
- identify reporting requirements and formats;
- identify resources (human, financial,
technological) required to make the system reliable and credible; and
- establish feedback procedures.
4. Report to Monitoring Stakeholders
Reporting is both formal and informal. Many of
these reporting procedures already exist, and good monitors know that the
earlier they can identify and communicate issues (even informally), the easier
the issues may be to resolve. However, we feel that the checklist below may be
useful.
In general, data collected for monitoring must
answer the following questions:
- Are the outputs or components (eg. goods,
services, technical cooperation, training and policy conditions/measures) being
achieved as planned, in terms of quality, schedule and cost?
- Are inputs (eg. bank disbursements,
counterpart funds, co-financing, project management, project implementation
staff, goods and services, etc.) being delivered/provided in a timely and
cost-effective manner?
- To what extent are the project assumptions, as
identified in the logframe, still valid? Have certain assumptions become risks
that may hinder the project's performance or progress?
- To what extent is the borrower complying with
contractual clauses?
- To what extent will the project likely achieve
its development objectives?
For its Annual Report on Portfolio Management,
the Bank has developed a new project performance review form which summarizes
the status of these issues, as shown on Table10.
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Table 10 (a)
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PROJECT PERFORMANCE
MONITORING REPORT (PPMR)
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I. BASIC DATA (Amounts in US$
millions)
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Country:
Borrower:
Executing Agency:
Sector:
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Project Title:
Project Number:
Loan Number(s):
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Date of Board Approval:
Date of Contract:
Date of Eligibility:
Date of Final Disbursement:
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Sector Specialist:
Report Update:
Headquarters Staff Member Assigned:
Date of Last Review by Representative:
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Years in Execution:
Cumulative Extension of Final Disbursement Date
(months):
Cancellation(s): Date Amount
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Original Loan(s) Amount(s):
Current Amount:
Disbursements:
% Disbursed:
Original Cost:
Current Cost:
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Loan Modality:
[ ] Investment
[ ] Time Slice
[ ] Sector
[ ] TC
[ ] Hybrid
[ ] Other
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Sector Loans - Amounts
First Tranche:
Second Tranche:
Third Tranche:
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Disbursement Dates - Expected
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Actual
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Cofinancing
Source(s):
Counterpart:
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Amount
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II. PROJECT
PURPOSE(S)/DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVE(S) AND KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS
The development objective(s)/purpose(s) must
describe the specific impact or results expected from the components of the
project. Performance indicators should be few and readily measurable. There must
be an agreement with the borrower/executing agency on objective(s) and
performance indicators.
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Project Development Objective(s):
1.
2.
3.
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Key Performance Indicators:
1.
2.
3.
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Have project development objective(s) changed
since Board approval?
Have project development objective(s) and
indicators been agreed to with borrowers/executing agencies?
Have project development objective(s) and
indicators changed since the last report?
Has the project been officially restructured?
Is the borrower maintaining performance
indicator data?
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[ ] yes
[ ] yes
[ ] yes
[ ] yes
[ ] yes
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[ ] no
[ ] no
[ ] no
[ ] no
[ ] no
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Date:
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III. PROJECT IMPLEMENTATION
PROGRESS
Implementation of project components relates
directly to the achievement of development objective(s)/project purpose(s). When
classifying implementation progress, please take into consideration the
physical progress and the quality of the components, as well as the
performance indicators for delivery
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Components/Outputs
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Key Delivery Performance
Indicators
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Classification
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HS
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S
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U
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VU
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1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
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1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
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Implementation Progress Summary Classification
(IP):
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[ ] Highly Satisfactory (HS)
[ ] Satisfactory (S)
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[ ] Unsatisfactory (U)
[ ] Very Unsatisfactory (VU)
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Check key reasons for very unsatisfactory or
unsatisfactory classifications:
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[ ] Legislative approvals
[ ] Borrower commitment
[ ] Counterpart funding shortfall
[ ] Central Government
[ ] State/Provincial/Local
[ ] Executing agency institutional capacity
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[ ] Community/political opposition
[ ] Executing agency staff
[ ] Consultant performance
[ ] Inter-agency coordination
[ ] Supplier/contractor performance
[ ] Project/component design
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[ ] Contract condition compliance
[ ] Bank efficiency
[ ] Procurement difficulties
[ ] Environmental issues
[ ] Cost overrun
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Identify causes, other reasons, or additional
comments:
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IV. KEY ASSUMPTIONS
The achievement of project development
objectives and the delivery of components often depends on assumptions which are
outside the control of the project manager. In assessing whether such
assumptions will be met, one needs to take both quality and timeliness
into consideration. Identify and report only on the assumptions that may affect
the achievement of development objectives/delivery of components. These
assumptions may be implicit or explicit (an example of an implicit assumption
might be that the regulatory authority permits timely adjustment of tariffs of a
public enterprise). When reporting on key assumptions, please take into
consideration compliance with contractual conditions that are of
particular importance to the project and that may have been formulated to
increase the probability that an assumption will hold true. The summary
classification refers to the probability that the assumptions will occur and
permit meeting of project objectives.
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Assumptions
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Assessment of Probability of
Occurrence
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High
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Low
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Assumptions Related to Development Objectives
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
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Assumptions Related to the Implementation of
Components
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
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Summary Assumptions Classification:
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[ ] High Probability
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[ ] Low Probability
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V. ACHIEVEMENT OF DEVELOPMENT
OBJECTIVES
To classify the likely achievement of
development objective(s), take into consideration the project's development
objective(s), the performance indicators, components performance, and key
assumptions.
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List major factors on which the development
objective(s) classification is based:
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Development Objective(s) Assessment (DO):
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[ ] Highly Probable (HP)
[ ] Probable (P)
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[ ] Low Probability (LP)
[ ] Improbable (I)
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VI. SUMMARY OF PROJECT STATUS,
ISSUES AND ACTIONS
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Project Status:
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Identify the major issues affecting project
implementation and/or achievement of development objectives:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
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Although the format may change over time,
the PPMR is designed to track the status of inputs/ouputs, borrower compliance
clauses, assumptions/risks, and the likelihood of the achievement of development
objectives. Regardless of the format, it is important that the information be:
- timely;
- as succinct as possible and convey the
information essential to its users;
- of an adequate technical quality in terms of
content, presentation, credibility, action-orientation.
5. Intervening to Improve Project Performance
Thus far, two actors have been mentioned in
conjunction with project monitoring: the counterpart Project Manager and the
Country Office. However, there may be cases where specialized monitoring
assistance may be required, in addition to these operational monitors. Examples
of these are shown on the table below. Monitors are therefore not merely passive
collectors and communicators of information. Effective evaluation monitors need
to be available to support project management and Country Office monitors in
many formal and informal ways. These specialized services are provided by, or
through, EVO's advisory functions and may be used to contribute expertise to
management. On other occasions, EVO may be asked to undertake special monitoring
assignments itself to assist project management, such as special monitoring
reports or mid-term evaluations.
Both in their regular and their special work,
monitors need to turn their findings into appropriate action.
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Table
11
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Findings
by Operational Monitors
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Monitoring
Actions
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1. No
significant deviation from plans
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1. This
confirms short term approach in the execution of the project; no modification
required at this stage.
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2.
Deviations from schedules for provision of inputs and/or achievement of outputs
due to difficulties with implementation
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2. Monitor
needs to assess the effects of slippage; probable causes of slippage; ascertain
whether changes required in project implementation and what type to recommend.
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3. Evidence
of problems related to project management
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3. Monitor
needs to assess seriousness of problems; analyze and understand the likely
causes of problems; search for solutions at the lowest possible level of
intervention; plan adjustments and modifications. A Mid-term evaluation may be
required.
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4.
Significant deviations from schedules for provision of inputs and/or achievement
of outputs due to inadequate project design
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4. Monitor
needs to determine whether the design can be suitably revised so that the
purpose (if valid) can still be achieved or recommend project cancellation. An
Execution and Monitoring Review may be required.
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5.
Significant cost over-runs
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5. Monitor
needs to understand causes, effects, alternative courses of action; recommend
such measures as audit, major re-design or cancellation.
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6. Lack of
project performance, however nature and causes are unclear
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6. Recommend
and/or conduct a mid-term evaluation.
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Out of the many tools used by the Bank to
identify and address performance problems, two formal evaluation procedures are
particularly useful:
a. Execution Monitoring Review
This mechanism addresses design problems by
involving project stakeholders in an intensive workshop to re-formulate the
project. The logframe is the major tool for re-analyzing the development
problem, the stakeholders, project objectives and benchmarks, indicators, and
assumptions. Moreover, economic, financial and technical specialists should also
participate in this exercise. The earlier such a review can be initiated, the
better, so that effort is not wasted on trying to implement an ineffectual
design.
b. Mid-Term Evaluation
A mid-term evaluation can take place at any
point during implementation. It is frequently used to analyze implementation
problems more fully, or to aid decision-making in time-slice programming. The
requirements and methods to be incorporated in mid-term and impact evaluations
are described fully in Chapter VI. The framework used for mid-term and ex-post
evaluations is an important one and is presented fully in Chapter V. The issues
addressed in a mid-term evaluation depend on the reasons for performing this
type evaluation, but they typically follow a generic outline. A sample report
outline for a mid-term evaluation is shown on Table 12.
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Table 12: Sample Report
Outline - Mid-Term Evaluation
Table of Contents
Abstract
1.0 Introduction
1.1 Background
- Purpose of the Evaluation
- Major Stakeholders
1.2 Project Description
- Summary of logframe
- General Status (start, finish date)
1.3 Evaluation Methodology
1.3.1 Design/General Approach
1.3.2 Sources of Data
1.3.3 Instruments
1.3.4 Evaluation Team
1.3.5 Limitations
1.4 Organization of Report
2.0 Project Rationale (Note: Sometimes this
follows discussion of efficiency and effectiveness)
2.1 Introduction
2.2 Changes in Project Context and Review of
Assumptions
2.3 Validity of Project logic
2.4 Continued Project Relevance
2.5 Implications for Project
Continuation/Re-Formulation
3.0 Efficiency
3.1 Introduction
3.2 Management of Project Inputs
3.2.1 Standards and quality control
3.2.2 Costs and cost control
- management costs
- costs of other inputs
3.3 Reporting through timely and useful
information on
3.3 Reports on:
- project finances
- input scheduling and delivery
- achievement of project outputs
- project problems and risks
3.4 Problems in Project Implementation
- identification
- analysis and proposed solution
3.5 Conclusions and recommendations
4.0 Effectiveness
4.1 Achievement of Project Outputs
4.1.1 Planned and Actual to Date
4.1.2 Implications of any Shortfalls
4.2 Project Outputs and Effects and the Project
Purpose
4.2.1 Planned Effects and Contribution to
Purpose
4.2.2 Unplanned Effects and consistency with
purpose and IDB priorities
4.3 Conclusions and Recommendations
5.0 Conclusion
5.1 Introduction
5.2 Continued Project Relevance
5.3 Measures to Increase Performance
5.4 Lessons Learned
5.4.1 Operational Performance
5.4.2 Development Performance
5.5 Implications for Future Loans
5.6 Summary of Recommendations
References
Appendices
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SUMMARY POINTS
- Valid and timely monitoring information may
improve project implementation
- Useable mechanisms to collect and distribute
information facilitate decision-making for improving project performance
- Execution and monitoring reviews can help
re-formulate projects for improved performance
- Mid-term evaluation can be an effective means
to diagnose performance problems in implementation
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